OK. So your company has all the internal characteristics to be an attractive acquisition target. But what about the external environment? Wouldn’t the current financial crisis have to be a terrible time to sell?
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Seller supply and demand – just like anything else, supply and demand affect price. Do you think there are more or less companies today that have a strong selling scenario? Many company’s sales and profitability have flattened or declined. If you have a strong performing company today, you are one of the few that buyer’s and financier’s have to look at and thus supply and demand should help you get a good price. The supply of strong performing companies for sale is diminished and favors the sellers. The baby boomer business owner wave of retirements will change this in the future with many more sellers coming to market.
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Buyer supply and demand – you might think that nobody would be buying in this economy. But look at all the downsizing and people that are losing their jobs. In recessions individual buyer ranks swell as people get laid off and look for businesses to buy. Private equity groups are sitting on cash from investors and need opportunities in which to deploy that capital. And corporate acquirers, faced with more difficult organic growth, look for strategic acquisitions to capture market share, add new offerings, expand geographic territories, etc. So right now there are many buyers looking at a few strong opportunities which is good for sellers.
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Performance timing – from where you sit today, which do you think will be better – the last three years or the next three years? At the point you decide to exit, the immediate past three year history will be the financial history you will be selling from. If the current recession lasts two or three years, you may need to wait five or six years before you can generate a good history to sell from. Sales and profitability trends are very powerful motivators for buyers and their advisors.
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Market timing – how would you like to be selling an evening newspaper or auto manufacturing related business right now. Conversely, wouldn’t you love to be selling an infrastructure contracting company, a green business, or an alternative energy company. The time to sell and get the best price is when the market for your goods and services is bright and expanding and when future potential can be played up to the buyer.
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Taxes – there are three parties to every transaction – the seller, the buyer, and the IRS. Minimizing taxes involves structuring, allocation and the tax laws at the time of sale. Taxes on capital gains and dividends were reduced to the lowest levels in recent history early in the Bush administration. Generally, the most favorable allocation is to capital gains at a tax rate of 15%. If this rate goes to 20%, you’ll need to sell your business for 6% more just to break even. If it goes to 28%, you’ll need to sell for 18% more to break even. And the new legislation “ARRA” includes some special tax breaks for S Corp sellers that converted from C Corps and sell in 2009-10. From a tax standpoint, the present may be the best time to sell to maximize your after-tax proceeds.
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Financing – we have all heard how tough the financing environment is and that the banks are not lending. But if you are in a strong selling position, you’re going to be one of the few standout opportunities in this difficult environment and banks need and want to make high quality loans. Interest rates are extremely low reducing the cost of capital for buyers and increasing returns on investment. For smaller deals, the SBA has waived some loan fees and increased the percentage it will guarantee for the lending institution. So again, for companies in a strong selling position, financing is available and at a low cost for the borrower.
In conclusion, it would be disingenuous to fail to say that despite all of the above, selling price multiples are down somewhat in the current environment. But good companies that are performing well will still bring a good price if properly marketed to take advantage of the above external factors. The key for business owners is to look ahead and weigh their desire to exit against their expectations of what the above factors may look like at some future point in time if they wait. Strategic Endeavors LLC can bring valuation knowledge and market knowledge together to help you determine the best time to exit and how to begin to prepare for that day in the meantime.